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Showing posts from May, 2020

My Truth is NOT your Truth - Predicting Truth Based on Ethical Values

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What is “truth”?  Truth is highly subjective and depends on the individual context, likes, personality, and ethical values of a person. What is “truth” for you depends in whom you trust and in whom you believe. If you are a farmer and Republican voter of Donald Trump in the rust belt of the US, you believe China needs to be punished for ripping of the US and you trust the words of Donald Trump and are willing to sacrifice sales of your grain or pork to China for the greater good of your country. If you are a Chinese Communist party member, you believe the US is striving for World domination and is using whatever means available to subdue China, you trust the words of Xi Jinping and are willing to bring personal sacrifices for the greater good of the Chinese nation. The same split perception of what is “true” applies to many other issues, from the effectiveness or dangers of vaccines, miracle cures against the Coronavirus, to when the world was created (4.54 billion years ago according

Is the next Einstein an AI System?

Technically, AI can now do many cognitive tasks much better than humans, molecular modeling is one of them, NLP and image recognition are among the most well-known. But will AI become truly creative? Or in other words, can AI predict unknown unknowns. We already know it is great in discovering and solving known unknowns? Philosophically speaking the question is if the next Einstein will be an AI system. The answer is most likely yes. The saying is that humans are unbelievably complex. I have found that humans are extremely simple, always applying simple heuristics. The point is that we are not aware of these heuristics and come up with super complex models and explanations, leading at times to wild conspiracy theories. Mr.Trump is embodying this with his wild theories, ranging from vaccination theories to Obamagate, while his simple heuristic is “do what will most likely get me re-elected”, unimpeded by any ethical constraints and restrictions. We just need to apply Occam’s razor

Social Networks Give Meaning in Life

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There are four main motivators that drive all our actions: money, power, glory and love, see e.g. t his previous post , and this   post . These motivations are all driven by social interaction in networks. So it does not come as a surprise that Social Network Analysis (SNA) has huge potential to measure and improve an individual’s and an organization’s money, power, glory, and love. --> Motivation SNA application Our own research  Covid19 use case Money Stock trend prediction Marketing, finding customers ·         Predicting Stock Market Indicators Through Twitter: "I hope it is not as bad as I fear" ,  ·         Selling toilet paper, hand sanitizer, face masks online Power Election prediction ·         Methods for Co-Designing a Collaborative Chronic Care Network (C3N).   ·         Epidemiological modeling to successfully manage the outbreak Glory Oscar prediction ·         Predicting Movie Success and Academy Awards Through Sent