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Why I did NOT predict Donald Trump’s Electoral Win

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Have you ever heard of Karl Ernst Krafft? He was a Swiss astrologer in the early 20th century. Krafft correctly predicted that Hitler would be in danger between November 7 and November 10, 1939, and wrote to a friend working for Himmler, warning him of an attempt on Hitler’s life. After a bomb exploded in the Munich beer hall November 8, barely missing Hitler, Krafft became a favorite with the Nazis and was made their court astrologer. However, when towards the end of the war, he (correctly) predicted that bombs would soon destroy the Propaganda ministry in Berlin, he was viewed as a traitor. He was put into jail, and died of typhus on the journey to the Buchenwald concentration camp. Reading the final blog post of famed election forecaster Nate Silver on his fivethirtyeightblog, he says 10.41AM on election day morning of Nov 8, 2016 “…..Clinton is a 71 percent favorite to win the election according to our polls-only model and a 72 percent favorite according to our polls-plus mode